Ramping up core adaptation investments to increase resiliency in the face of climate change

Recommendation Summary:

To support implementation of the National Adaptation Strategy (NAS), the Green Budget Coalition recommends scaling up federal core adaptation investments by an order of magnitude, from $6.5 billion over the past eight years to:

At least $65 billion over the next eight years (2025-2033) for core adaptation programs [NRCan, HICC, ECCC, HC, CIRNAC, and other departments]

Background and Rationale

The National Adaptation Strategy, finalized in June 2023, outlines a path for improving climate change resilience in Canada across five interconnected systems: disaster resilience, health and well-being, nature and biodiversity, infrastructure, and economy and workers.

Over the past eight years (2015-2023), federal investments in core adaptation—programs and initiatives designed to directly enhance adaptation— have totalled more than $6.5 billion. This includes $1.6 billion in new funding announced in November 2022 when the draft NAS was published, which was described at the time as a “down-payment”.

However, as noted in the Canadian Climate Institute’s 2022 independent assessment of the draft NAS and $1.6 billion down-payment, “The scale of new action and investment proposed in the Action Plan is inadequate to address the growing national adaptation shortfall.” While some additional funding has been announced since, funding for the NAS remains insufficient, and could be reduced if sunsetting programs supporting adaptation are not renewed in Budget 2025.

Meanwhile, a 2020 analysis by the Insurance Bureau of Canada and the Federation of Canadian Municipalities, which focused on the cost of local- level actions for public infrastructure needs alone,estimated that “an annual investment in municipal infrastructure and local adaptation of $5.3 billion is needed to adapt to climate change.”

Scaling Up Investments to Date and Addressing Gaps

Existing programs and initiatives, such as those identified in the ECCC Backgrounder, Funding climate change adaptation (June 2023), can be rapidly expanded and/or scaled up.83 Priorities identified by Climate Proof Canada include:

  • Expanding the Greener Homes Initiative and Greener Neighbourhoods Pilot Program to integrate resilience objectives, support deep retrofits and accelerate decarbonization;Delivering surge funding to the Disaster Mitigation and Adaptation Fund (DMAF);
  • Supporting Indigenous Climate Resilience for First Nations, the Métis Nation and Inuit Peoples;* and
  • Expanding the HealthADAPT program in order to help the health sector prepare for and respond to climate impacts.

Additional priorities for new core adaptation investments to address gaps in current funding streams include:

  • An affordable National Flood Insurance Program to protect households;
  • Targeted programs for people with health conditions and disabilities, racialized communities, older people, and other marginalized and underserved populations particularly vulnerable to climate change;
  • Resources to advance equity and climate and environmental justice (a guiding principle of the NAS) across all core adaptation investments;
  • Integrating measures to promote adaptation of forests, grasslands, wetlands and aquatic ecosystems in restoration and protection plans;
  • Addressing flooding and erosion at a watershed scale that goes beyond municipal and/or jurisdictional boundaries with a focus on natural infrastructure solutions, and including regional collaboration of watershed health monitoring, and assessment of hydrology to manage flow regimes during periods of sporadic precipitation; and
  • Targeted support for local governments to access predictive tools such as flood maps, and disaster-mitigation funding.

Important Complementary Actions

Effective coordination and engagement mechanisms will be essential to the success of Canada’s NAS and also require resourcing.

All federal infrastructure funding programs need to be brought into alignment with the NAS. Housing, Infrastructure and Communities Canada’s updated climate lens should be rigorously applied to all federal infrastructure investments. There is also a need to improve coordination and coherence among federal programs for disaster risk reduction/response and climate adaptation, as recommended in 2022 by the Expert Advisory Panel on the Disaster Financial Assistance Arrangements (DFAA). Strategically targeting DFAA funding to prioritize climate adaptation will help increase disaster resilience.

In addition to core adaptation investments, funding for disaster response and recovery and other programs that include adaptation as a secondary outcome will continue to be important.

See also recommendations for additional investments in the following adaptation-relevant programs, detailed elsewhere in this document: earlier, in Delivering on Nature Commitments; and later, in the more detailed nature section: Aquatic Ecosystem Restoration Fund; Habitat Infrastructure Renewal Fund; and Indigenous- led conservation in Enhanced Nature Legacy Renewal.

* The Green Budget Coalition supports the request of the Métis Nation for emergency management funding.

Marine shipping

The shipping industry is one of the world’s largest emitters of greenhouse gases (GHGs). If it were a country, it would be the world’s sixth-biggest climate polluter. Canada must take steps to address the climate impacts of marine shipping and to ensure the industry is held to account. In addition to GHG and black carbon emissions, polluting discharges, fuel spills, marine mammal strikes, and underwater noise from ships can severely impact critical habitat and Indigenous and community food security and health.

Total Recommended Investment: $135 million over five years

Accelerating zero-emission shipping:

  1. Zero-emission vessels: $20 million over two years for R&D and sea trials to meet the target of 100% zero-emission vessels in Canadian inland waters by 2030. [TC]
  2. GHG Emission Reduction Innovation Fund: $10 million over two years to provide advisory and capacity-building services to assist with vessel design, retrofit and testing for wind-assist, solar, electrification, autonomous technology and digitalization, and hull appendages. [TC, NRCan]
  3. Alternative fuels: $100 million over five years to ensure alternative fuels are available at Canadian ports to ensure full decarbonization of Canadian shipping before 2050. Consideration should only be given to alternative fuels that offer significant life-cycle GHG benefits on a well-to-wake basis, including land-use change emissions. Liquified natural gas, liquified petroleum gas, and other fossil fuels should be excluded. [TC, ECCC, HICC]
  4. Marine fuel carbon pricing: $5 million over two years to develop and implement a policy instrument to explicitly include domestic shipping in the Canadian carbon pricing system. [TC, ECCC, DFO]

Tools to generate revenue:

  • Vessel pollution control fund: Require the collection of fees from vessels and deposit such fees in the fund to apply in the innovation programs specified above. [TC]
  • Cruise tourism fee: Require the collection of a fee for every cruise passenger entering Canadian waters to fund an initiative, equivalent to the Indigenous Guardians Program or Alaska’s Ocean Ranger Program, to monitor and enforce compliance with federal requirements pertaining to ship discharges and speed, as well as regional recommendations. [TC]
  • Insurance fund: Establish a legally enforced insurance fund paid by the marine sector for public health and environmental impacts on local and Indigenous communities. This fund would ensure that there is proper compensation for those people amid any potential disruption or disaster. [TC]

Moving towards a more circular economy by prioritizing upstream solutions, including reuse and repair

The Green Budget Coalition appreciated the commitments in Budget 2024 to a “right to repair to increase product durability and repairability” and, since fulfilled, to launching consultations in June 2024 to develop a right to repair framework, focused on durability, repairability, and interoperability.

In 2020, Canada had a circularity rate of only 6%. As efforts and funding are primarily directed to recycling, priority circular economy strategies— including reuse and repair—lack financial support, especially for larger-scale reuse initiatives.

Funding to support reuse initiatives are vital to successfully deploying reusable alternatives that reduce the demand for single-use items, particularly in the food and grocery sectors. While the plastics challenge launched in 2022 was intended to achieve this goal, its short duration and the ineligibility of not-for-profit companies are hindrances to the success of this federal funding.

Additionally, while in 2021, Canadian households spent $2,177 per year on household appliances and electronics,48 only 19% of those surveyed had their last broken appliance repaired. A repair fund like France’s, launched in 2022, would allow people with broken appliances, no longer under warranty, to obtain a discount at the time of the repair.

Recommended Investments:

  • $87 million over three years, followed by $87 million per year, ongoing, to implement a repair fund to reduce the cost of repairing electronics and appliances. [ISED, FIN]
  • $100 million over three years to establish a reuse fund to support businesses and organizations developing reusable container and packaging solutions as alternatives to single-use plastics, followed by $35 million per year, ongoing, until the effective implementation of reusable containers and packaging in Canada. [ECCC, ISED]

Canada’s industrial carbon pricing system, and complementary mechanisms

Canada’s industrial carbon pricing system is intended to reflect the cost of pollution, ensuring that industrial emitters pay for the costs of emissions. It provides price signals needed by industry to invest in significant decarbonization projects. Its stability and predictability is key to stimulating investment in clean technology and large scale projects, which often take years to evaluate and implement. Established in 2022, the Canada Growth Fund can complement and supplement the industrial carbon pricing system in facilitating the significant investments required to decarbonize all sectors. The fund is also meant to serve as the principal federal entity to issue Carbon Contracts for Difference (CCfDs), or carbon credit offtake agreements, to de-risk investments.

Recommendations [ECCC, FIN, NRCan]:

  • Driving emissions reductions through strong industrial carbon pricing is smart fiscal policy, and Budget 2025 needs to commit to a fulsome assessment of the federal output-based pricing system (OBPS) and by extension, equivalent provincial systems, to ensure the long-term integrity of credit markets. This assessment is set to conclude in 2026, and should begin in 2025. Ensuring adequate demand in credit markets, and controlling for oversupply, is key to driving continuous improvements in emissions performance, but also to ensuring against undue public liability from the market guarantees inherent in CCfDs.
  • Now that the Canada Growth Fund is increasing its momentum, Budget 2025 should set more aggressive targets for the Fund to deliver on its objectives and benefit the Canadian economy. Those investments are urgently needed in 2025 and beyond, and should be utilized to the greatest extent possible to help get Canada on track to achieving its 2030 climate targets, competing with the US to grow its low-carbon industry and supply chains, and supporting long-term sustainable jobs and prosperity for Canadians while ensuring returns for the fund’s investors. We caution that if the OBPS review does not produce the conditions for long-term integrity of credit markets, then the possibility of a government backstop of certain CCFD liabilities of the Canada Growth Fund, as highlighted in 2024 budget, may become essential, though they may represent undue risk to taxpayers.
  • To reduce public liabilities for carbon contracts and ensure industrial carbon pricing continues to drive economically efficient emission reductions in the Canadian economy, federal and provincial carbon pricing systems must make credit prices public information, and their stringency- tightening rates must predictably align with Canada’s commitment to net-zero emissions by 2050. Engagement on post-2030 OBPS design should begin in late 2024, and transparent processes should be developed to monitor and make recommendations on credit market management, such as a national carbon credits exchange commission.

Transparent elimination of domestic public finance and subsidies for fossil fuels

Canada has introduced policies to end domestic subsidies and international public financing for fossil fuel projects. To build on this progress, Canada should publish a policy to end domestic public finance for fossil fuels, as it has committed to do most recently in Budget 2024. This policy is critical to supporting the energy transition, particularly considering that Export Development Canada and other Canadian crown corporations provided at least $7.6 billion to $13.5 billion annually to the fossil fuel sector over 2020-2022. A substantial portion of public finance in recent years has supported the Trans Mountain Pipeline project.

With a strong and transparent approach, Canada can become a global leader in shifting financial flows away from fossil fuels as a key lever to support the energy transition.

Recommendations:

1. Publish a policy to end domestic public financing for fossil fuels by fall 2024 [FIN, ECCC]

a. Introduce a strong policy to end public financial support for fossil fuels domestically, including the full scope of financial instruments, such as loans, equity, grants, guarantees, and insurance. The policy should cover financing for all fossil fuels across their entire life cycle, including support for decarbonization. It should also include a plan to phase out existing public finance and direct government investments. A recent report has a full list of recommendations for a strong policy.

b. Direct public financial institutions (PFIs) to increase transparency by publishing transaction-level data, including company, project name, description and location, amounts disbursed, instrument type, co- investors or syndicate members, any other activities or roles undertaken by the PFI, and any performance or impact expectations (e.g., environmental, social, governance, and any sustainable development goal alignment, full life-cycle emissions for projects or projected dollars per tonne of emissions reductions).

2. Ensure centralized and transparent reporting for all fossil fuel subsidies and public financing [FIN, ECCC, PMO, PCO, NRCan, ISED]

a. Publish the results of Canada’s long-overdue subsidies self-review immediately, including a full inventory of all federal fossil fuel tax and non-tax subsidies and supports (such as the 128 measures identified in the inefficient fossil fuel subsidies framework), and analysis and rationale for any deemed ‘efficient’. [FIN, ECCC]

b. Create a central mechanism for transparency, accountability, and enforcement of policies to ensure they are upheld across departments. The mechanism could include a central database of departmental reports on potential fossil fuel supports and any rationale for exemptions under current policies. An enforcement body should assess information and analysis reported and ensure full enforcement of all policy conditions. [FIN, ECCC]

c. Develop and publish guidelines for federal departments to implement the inefficient fossil fuel subsidies framework. These guidelines should advance a narrow interpretation of exemptions under the policy, ensuring no further support for ‘abated’ oil and gas production, including through carbon capture and storage. [FIN, NRCan, ISED, ECCC]

For related recommendations, please see also Subsidy reform: Aligning investments with halting and reversing biodiversity loss by 2030 and Sustainable finance: Aligning Canada’s financial system with climate and biodiversity commitments, elsewhere in this document.